Could Uninformed Undecideds Sway the Election?


“Where are you headed GLIMPSE?”

“Where you can’t find me.”
“Ha. Funny. You’ll have to run faster. Say, aren’t you going to tell what you think about the second presidential campaign debate? Aren’t you going to comment?
“Sure I am.  Like most democrats I know and have seen interviewed, I think Mr. Obama was most impressive.  I’m relieved that the intense, articulate, and spunky President I have learned to appreciate is back from his slump, and loved it when Candy Crowley corrected Mr. Romney—or ‘Mittens’ as New York Times columnist Maureen Dowd calls him.
“You remember. Mr. Romney challenged Mr. Obama’s truthfulness when the President said after the September 11 Libya embassy attack, that the following day he identified it as a terrorist operation.  Ms. Crowley told Mr. Romney the President was correct. People clapped, and Mitt looked stunned.  Her name probably won’t be listed among the ‘qualified’ in the would-be-president’s ‘binder full of women’ should he be elected.”
“Come on! You’ve got to admit Romney did okay. He was aggressive.”
“Aggressive is your word.  ’Bullying’ is mine.  However I’m certain you consider Mr. Romney the winner. ”
“You got that right.”
“A fascinating thing about the debate is that the Gallup organization found such apparently informed ‘undecideds.’ Undecided voters typically are perceived as “low information” voters.
Reuters news service reporter Daniel Trotter notes that undecideds, who make up 6 percent of the electorate, have been the subject of pundits’ scorn for their indecision.
“ He quotes comedian Bill Maher as saying, ‘This year at the debates we should skip that thing where the undecided dial in their reaction to every little moment and instead hook up the dial to their foreheads to see if there is an measurable brain activity.’
“Trotter bases his reportage on polls Reuters co-sponsored during the campaign. The information he came up with is enlightening.  
“Most of us have encountered people like a former colleague who was simply indecisive.   At a restaurant she would ask over and over what others were ordering then  bury herself in the menu and make humming sounds until  her friends made suggestions and coaxed her to order.
“Neil Newhouse, a Romney pollster, told Trotter 56 percent of the undecided are women. He calls them “Walmart moms.”  The polls show the group is mostly made up of white females without a college education who earn less than $25,000 yearly.
“As you might suspect they struggle to get by and care little about the national budget.  On polls asking questions about the presidential candidates, national issues, and intention to vote the undecided commonly answered’ don’t know,’ or ‘refuse to answer.’ They were twice as likely as other voters to answer ‘unsure’ when queried about personal views on same-sex marriage, health care, immigration, and the national budget.
“Yet 75 percent of these voters who admit knowing little about national affairs believe the country is ‘on the wrong track.’ And when asked which candidate was more eloquent, likeable, or presidential they mostly answered ‘neither.’
“Mr. Trotter quoted Helen Krueger, 54, of Grants Pass, Oregon. The mother of seven voted for John McCain in 2008. She said she normally knows who she is goings to vote for but this time is different.  She said she needed to do ‘more research.’ She claimed the President has done a ‘lousy job’ and she indicated she thought Mr. Romney wants to tax the ‘medium class and low class’ and let the rich get away without paying taxes.”
“For once you’re right Glimpse. That is an enlightening portrait.”
“Yeah. And the scary thing is some predict that in a tight election the undecided may sway the election one way or the other. Let’s hope that prediction’s wrong.”
“Finally you’ve given an opinion I can agree with.”    

                                                                                      ---Gus Gribbin

               

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